The Big Flip: Interest Rate Expectations Repricing Upward
The Big Flip thesis has been gaining traction in the financial world and describes the market’s misplaced belief in the path of inflation and policy rates. The article below is…
No Policy Pivot In Sight: “Higher For Longer” Rates On The Horizon
The market is nearly unanimous in expecting a 0.25% rate hike during February’s FOMC meeting, yet many expect a “pause” shortly thereafter. We beg to differ. The below is an…
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Rate Hikes Needed to Reduce Eurozone Inflation Despite Recession, Top ECB Official Says
Interest rates will continue to rise while the euro area falls into recession, a high-ranking executive at the European Central Bank (ECB) has indicated. His statements follow the latest rate…
Dovish, Then Hawkish: What Fed Chair Powell Said That Crashed Markets
U.S. equities rallied following the FOMC’s 75 bps hike in interest rates, only to crash as Fed Chair Powell hinted at higher-than-expected terminal rates. The Federal Open Markets Committee, the…
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The Federal Reserve Lags Behind The Inflation Curve
As the market hangs on the edge of continued rally or turning over, hawkish or dovish commentary may drive exceedingly volatile market reactions. The below is an excerpt from a…
Will A Debt Spiral Lead To Bitcoin Adoption?
When the United States has a significant amount of debt, high interest rates and a budget deficit, there can be no hope of ever paying it off. This is an…
Bond Market Meltdown: Where Are The Buyers For Government Debt?
Central banks are trying to keep yields from exploding higher while they hike rates to fight inflation. Who will step in to buy bonds in current conditions? The below is…
The Federal Reserve Versus The UN And OPEC
The United Nations released a report demanding central banks change course and OPEC decided to cut their production quotas by 2 million barrels per day. “Fed Watch” is a macro…
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Fed’s Inflation Nowcasting Data Shows Future CPI Increases, US Gross National Debt Hits $31 Trillion
A recently published forecast stemming from the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland’s Inflation Nowcasting data indicates upcoming U.S. consumer price index (CPI) metrics will likely be elevated. The newly predicted…
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UN Report Urges Fed to Suspend Interest Rate Hikes, Presses for ‘Public Spending’ Increases
The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) has warned that the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes and the slew of other central banks raising rates, could pose…