Fed’s Next Rate Move Has Traders Staring at a Coin Toss
The Federal Reserve waited 1,148 days to raise interest rates again, and speculators are already betting it won’t stop at one. Polymarket, Kalshi, and CME futures now lean toward another…
Trump Demands Rate Cuts as Warsh Sends Fed Hike Odds Above 66%
While the CME Fedwatch tool shows the chances of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raising the federal funds rate odds now stand at 66%, U.S. President Donald Trump is…
ECB’s Schnabel Says Central Bank Money ‘Must Go Onchain’
“Central bank reserves remain superior to stablecoins as the ultimate settlement asset,” European Central Bank Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel told attendees at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium. Schnabel’s…
Prediction Markets Say Hold, Citadel Securities Says Fed Will Hike as Trump Pressures Central Bank
Federal funds futures traders are pricing a majority chance that the U.S. Federal Reserve holds rates steady this week, but trading activity beneath the headline tells a more nuanced story.…
BIS Warns Stablecoins Are Breaking Capital Controls as Dollarization Accelerates
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) says U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoins are repeating a pattern central banks have watched for decades, and the regulatory tools that used to work no longer…
US Money Supply Hits Record $23 Trillion as Critics See a New Fed-Fueled Bubble
The U.S. money supply climbed to $23.05 trillion in May, the first time the Federal Reserve’s M2 gauge has ever crossed the $23 trillion mark. The record lands as critics…
Fed and Powell Under Fire, but Some Argue Independence Was Always an Illusion
Since the Department of Justice (DOJ) opened a probe into the U.S. Federal Reserve over its renovation projects, and Chair Jerome Powell has brushed it off as a clash over…
Markets Brace for Fed Rate Cut as Futures and Prediction Markets Show Near-Certain Trim
According to the CME Fedwatch tool and prediction markets, traders are betting the U.S. Federal Reserve will trim rates tomorrow when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) gathers. On top…
$311B Worth of Pillow Gold: Türkiye Household Gold Hoard Dwarfs Central Bank Reserves
Turkish households hold an estimated $311 billion worth of unregistered physical gold outside the formal financial system, a massive stockpile far exceeding the central bank’s official reserves. Beyond Banks: Türkiye…
Zero Percent: Switzerland Reverts to 0% Rates to Counter Deflation Pressure
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) cut its key interest rate to 0% on June 19, 2025, reinstating a zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) effective immediately. SNB Joins Zero-Rate Club After…