The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) published a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on Wednesday, laying out a structured, contract-by-contract review process for event contracts that may involve terrorism, war,…

Prediction market traders are putting real money on the table that Anthropic will publicly release its most powerful and controversial artificial intelligence (AI) model, Claude Mythos, within the next 24…

A trader on the decentralized prediction market Polymarket lost about $527,000 in a single day after Strategy disclosed its first bitcoin sale since 2022, per Lookonchain. A Bet Settled by…

Blockchain investigator ZachXBT first pointed to a possible hack, indicating that $520K were drained so far. Polymarket acknowledged the security event and stressed that it was taking action after the…

Prediction market traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing a Democratic sweep of the 2026 U.S. midterm elections as the most likely outcome, with combined trading volume topping $12.5 million…

Prediction market traders have placed more than $100 million in combined volume across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Myriad on where bitcoin’s price lands in May 2026 and beyond, with crowd odds…

Prediction market traders have placed more than $5.5 million in combined volume on the Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary, with challenger Ed Gallrein holding a narrow edge over seven-term…

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a blanket no-action letter this week, relieving prediction market operators from swap data reporting and recordkeeping obligations tied to fully collateralized event contracts.…

Bitcoin Magazine Kalshi and Polymarket Enter the Crypto Race to Launch Perpetual Futures Two of the largest prediction market platforms in the United States are set to enter the crypto…

Trump struck a two-week ceasefire with Iran on April 7, 2026, and within hours, blockchain analysts were asking who knew first. Key Takeaways: Trump’s April 7 ceasefire with Iran reopened…