World Cup 2026 Could Draw $50 Billion in Bets, a First for Prediction Markets
Macquarie expects the 2026 World Cup to draw more than $50 billion in global wagers, the biggest betting event ever – a major milestone made even more important by this…
CFTC Chairman Selig Backs Prediction Markets With New Case-by-Case Framework
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) published a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on Wednesday, laying out a structured, contract-by-contract review process for event contracts that may involve terrorism, war,…
Traders Bet 60% Odds Anthropic’s Claude Mythos Drops Today as Rumors Hit Fever Pitch
Prediction market traders are putting real money on the table that Anthropic will publicly release its most powerful and controversial artificial intelligence (AI) model, Claude Mythos, within the next 24…
Kalshi and Polymarket Midterm Markets Favor Democratic Sweep With $12.5M Combined Volume
Prediction market traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing a Democratic sweep of the 2026 U.S. midterm elections as the most likely outcome, with combined trading volume topping $12.5 million…
Bitcoin Prediction Markets Show $84K Ceiling as Traders Stack Bets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and Myriad
Prediction market traders have placed more than $100 million in combined volume across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Myriad on where bitcoin’s price lands in May 2026 and beyond, with crowd odds…
Massie vs. Gallrein: Prediction Markets Bet $5.5M on the Most Expensive US House Primary Ever
Prediction market traders have placed more than $5.5 million in combined volume on the Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary, with challenger Ed Gallrein holding a narrow edge over seven-term…
Interactive Brokers Debuts All-in-One Prediction Market Portal
Interactive Brokers announced the launch of a unified prediction markets platform on Thursday, which integrates event contracts from Kalshi, CME Group, and its own affiliate exchange, ForecastEx. IBKR Aggregates Kalshi…
CFTC Drops Swap Reporting Duties for Prediction Market Operators Across the US
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a blanket no-action letter this week, relieving prediction market operators from swap data reporting and recordkeeping obligations tied to fully collateralized event contracts.…
ZachXBT Flags Polyarb as Fake Prediction Market With an Active Wallet Drainer
Onchain investigator ZachXBT has warned that Polyarb, a site presenting itself as a prediction market platform, is running an active wallet drainer and is gaining reach through prominent crypto accounts…
Hyperliquid Launches HIP-4 and Targets Polymarket With Zero-Fee Outcome Markets
Hyperliquid activated its HIP-4 Outcome Markets on mainnet May 2, 2026, bringing fully collateralized, onchain prediction markets directly into the same account where traders already run perpetual futures and spot…