Fed’s Next Rate Move Has Traders Staring at a Coin Toss
The Federal Reserve waited 1,148 days to raise interest rates again, and speculators are already betting it won’t stop at one. Polymarket, Kalshi, and CME futures now lean toward another…
Korean Police Traced Polymarket Users Through the Blockchain
South Korean police spent five months identifying individual Polymarket traders through public blockchain records and booking them on suspicion of illegal gambling, all while the platform was still legally accessible…
CLARITY Act Needs 60 Votes Today Just to Reach the Real Vote
A Senate vote at 2:15 p.m. ET Tuesday could decide whether the CLARITY Act stays alive, but senators aren’t actually voting on whether to pass the crypto bill. They’re voting…
Kalshi’s Most-Requested Market Isn’t Politics, It’s Divorce
Kalshi’s Head of Institutional says the single market users request most isn’t tied to sports or elections, it’s whether their own relationship will survive. The Market Nobody Expected to Top…
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)
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US Election 2028
AOC Blasts Past Newsom as 2028 Prediction Market Bets Pile Up
Prediction market traders are already throwing enormous sums at the 2028 U.S. presidential race, with JD Vance leading the overall field and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) breaking out as the strongest…
NY Sues Kalshi, Demanding $100K Fine Per Illegal Bet
The lawsuit alleges that Kalshi acted as an unlicensed gambling operator, stressing that prediction markets meet the legal definition of gambling as the outcomes of event contracts “are uncertain and…
House Flip? Senate Hold? Prediction Markets Unleash Wild 2026 Midterm Election Bets
Prediction market traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in a Democratic takeover of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms while giving Republicans the edge to hold the Senate,…
Hyperliquid Bets Big on Prediction Markets With Permissionless HIP-4 Push
Hyperliquid told users on July 19 that its outcome markets product, known as HIP-4, will move to permissionless deployment in a coming network upgrade. The announcement came through the exchange’s…
Prediction Market Traders Turn Bearish on Clarity Act Becoming Law in 2026
Prediction market traders are betting against the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act becoming law in 2026, even as Kalshi bettors put strong odds on a Senate vote happening within weeks.…
World Cup Betting Frenzy: $5.5B Wagers Back Spain to Crush Argentina
Two prediction market platforms are pricing the same outcome for Sunday’s World Cup final, with Polymarket and Kalshi bettors both putting Spain ahead of Argentina as the teams prepare to…