45% Odds US Military Will Strike Iran Before July—Markets on High Alert
As of June 17, 2025, at 8 a.m. Eastern time, Israel and Iran remain locked in their fifth straight day of direct military exchange, with both nations continuing missile strikes…
Trump’s Pardons Predicted: Jan. 6 Protestor, Ross Ulbricht, and Roger Ver Lead Polymarket Bets
A bet on Polymarket, the prediction marketplace, is drawing buzz with its question: Who will President-elect Donald Trump pardon within his first 100 days? Since its launch, this wager has…
It’s Morning in America for Crypto
With a decisive electoral sweep of the presidency and Congress, Trump’s second term could mark a transformative era for bitcoin, crypto, and the broader blockchain industry. This editorial is from…
Polymarket vs. Polls: Trump’s Victory Vindicates Prediction Markets
Haseeb Qureshi, managing partner at the VC crypto fund Dragonfly, believes that prediction markets like Polymarket have been vindicated after facing accusations of bias in anticipation of the U.S. election.…
US Election Bettors Double Down: Trump’s Path to Victory Grows, but Is It Enough?
According to the latest data from Polymarket, gathered eight days before the 2024 U.S. Election Day, former President Donald Trump has widened his lead over Vice President Kamala Harris on…
Polymarket’s Staggering Growth in October — Will Post-Election Events Keep the Momentum Going?
Based on Dune Analytics’ latest figures, the prediction market Polymarket’s October volume has soared to over three times what it was in September. Polymarket Continues to Hit All-Time Highs In…
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Markets Are Telling Us Something About the US Election
This editorial is from last week’s edition of the newsletter Week in Review. Subscribe to the weekly newsletter to get the editorial the second it’s finished. Polymarket, Traditional Markets, and…
World’s Largest Prediction Market Polymarket Is Trump Biased
Seeing Bitcoin’s price rally as Donald Trump takes the lead on the world’s largest prediction market, Polymarket, made me do some research on what Polymarket is and who uses it.…
Polymarket Election Buzz: Why Trump’s Lead Is Stirring Skeptics and Memes Alike
Following former President Donald Trump gaining a dominant lead in his odds against Vice President Kamala Harris for the 2024 election, as tracked by Polymarket bettors, a group of skeptics…
Trump Refers to Polymarket as ‘Poly-Poll’: ‘We’re Doing Really Well’
Presidential candidate Donald Trump recently acknowledged the existence of the crypto-based prediction market platform Polymarket. In a video posted on Polymarket’s X account, Trump referred to the platform as “a…