Fed’s Next Rate Move Has Traders Staring at a Coin Toss
The Federal Reserve waited 1,148 days to raise interest rates again, and speculators are already betting it won’t stop at one. Polymarket, Kalshi, and CME futures now lean toward another…
Kalshi’s Most-Requested Market Isn’t Politics, It’s Divorce
Kalshi’s Head of Institutional says the single market users request most isn’t tied to sports or elections, it’s whether their own relationship will survive. The Market Nobody Expected to Top…
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)
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US Election 2028
AOC Blasts Past Newsom as 2028 Prediction Market Bets Pile Up
Prediction market traders are already throwing enormous sums at the 2028 U.S. presidential race, with JD Vance leading the overall field and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) breaking out as the strongest…
Trump to Host Coinbase, Ripple, Kraken at White House Aug. 19
President Donald Trump is expected to host Coinbase, Ripple and other crypto and prediction-market executives at the White House on Wednesday, August 19, kicking off a week of regulatory meetings…
House Flip? Senate Hold? Prediction Markets Unleash Wild 2026 Midterm Election Bets
Prediction market traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in a Democratic takeover of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms while giving Republicans the edge to hold the Senate,…
Hyperliquid Bets Big on Prediction Markets With Permissionless HIP-4 Push
Hyperliquid told users on July 19 that its outcome markets product, known as HIP-4, will move to permissionless deployment in a coming network upgrade. The announcement came through the exchange’s…
Prediction Market Traders Turn Bearish on Clarity Act Becoming Law in 2026
Prediction market traders are betting against the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act becoming law in 2026, even as Kalshi bettors put strong odds on a Senate vote happening within weeks.…
Larry Fink Comes out as Bullish, CFTC Intervenes With Kalshi, and More – Week in Review
This week’s crypto storylines mixed balance-sheet stress, regulation, venture hindsight, geopolitics, and macro sentiment. Michael Saylor built a $3 billion cash buffer around Strategy’s bitcoin stack, the CFTC backed Kalshi…
World Cup Betting Frenzy: $5.5B Wagers Back Spain to Crush Argentina
Two prediction market platforms are pricing the same outcome for Sunday’s World Cup final, with Polymarket and Kalshi bettors both putting Spain ahead of Argentina as the teams prepare to…
France World Cup Winning Odds Climb to 35% as Polymarket Volume Tops $3.9 Billion
France has emerged as the clear favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to betting activity on Polymarket and Kalshi, two prediction market platforms that have processed billions…